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Dynamics of a SVEIR Epidemic Model with a Delay in Diagnosis in a Changing Environment,
Auteur(s): Hamadoum Dicko, Ali Traoré, Désiré Ouedraogo
Auteur(s) tagués: OUEDRAOGO Désiré
Renseignée par : TRAORE Ali
Résumé

SVEIR epidemic model with a delay in diagnosis is studied in a constant and variable environment. The mathematical analysis shows that the dynamics of the model in the constant environment are completely determined by the magnitude of the delay-induced reproduction number Rα. We established that if Rα<1, the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable, and when Rα>1 the endemic equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable. In the variable environment, the model undergoes a transcritical bifurcation for Rα=1 leading to changes in the stability of the equilibrium points. The analytical effect of the delays in epidemic diagnosis is investigated. A minimum diagnosisrateαminhas been determined to face or control the disease effectively. Finally, numerical illustrations were presented tosupport the theoretical results

Mots-clés

sensitivity, delays in diagnosis, changing environment, Lyapunov function

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