Global dynamics of a seasonal mathematical model of schistosomiasis transmission with general incidence function,
Auteur(s): TRAORE Bakary, KOUTOU Ousmane, SANGARE Boureima
Auteur(s) tagués: Ousmane KOUTOU ;
Résumé

In this paper, we investigate a nonautonomous and an autonomous model of schistosomiasis transmission with a general incidence function. Firstly, we formulate the nonautonomous model by taking into account the effect of climate change on the transmission. Through rigorous analysis via theories and methods of dynamical systems, we show that the nonautonomous model has a globally asymptotically stable disease-free periodic equilibrium when the associated basic reproduction ratio R0 is less than unity. Otherwise, the system admits at least one positive periodic solutions if R0 is greater than unity. Secondly, using the average of periodic functions, we further derive the autonomous model associated with the nonautonomous model. Therefore, we show that the disease-free equilibrium of the autonomous model is locally and globally asymptotically stable when the associated reproduction ratio R1
is less than unity. When R1 is greater than unity, the existence and global asymptotic stability of the endemic equilibrium is established under certain conditions. Finally, using linear and nonlinear specific incidence function, we perform some numerical simulations to illustrate our theoretical results.

Mots-clés

Schistosomiasis Nonautonomous Model General Incidence Function Basic Reproduction Ratio Uniform Persistence Global Stability Numerical Simulations

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